Friday, August 13, 2010

Bushehr blues

Surprise, surprise: the Russians will fuel the Iranian nuclear reactor wakes They have built at Bushehr, next Saturday, and it will begin the months-long process of Firing up. This despite pleas from the West Thurs stop this project, and what the Obama administration in Washington May or May Not Believe Thurs Have Been an under-taking by the Russians Thurs delay it - at least that many UNTIL Iran had come Thurs some plausible Inspection Agreement is a nuclear weapons . 

We Can not know the extent of direct Russian Collusion in the Iranian nuclear weapons program on, and me Can not trust our massively incompetent intelligence agencies to find out. We do know That the Technical Aid from Russia goes well beyond the reactor building, and into the commission of weapons systems. We Know That Iran IS NOT ITS concealing the commitment Thurs build and arm Missiles Capable of Reaching Not only Israel, but their India, and much of southern and eastern Europe. 

And we know, or know if Can, We Are Not incurably naive, That Both Russia and China Consider Iran - and North Korea - to be a wild-card Allies in Their own rivalries with the West. 

It Is to keep Their advantage Thurs These Regimes in a state of dependency upon Themselves, thus to our advantage that this is an tends Thurs limit the amount of co-operation. 

But the wild Behaviour of Both Iran and North Korea - wakes Also, Obviously, trade-related nuclear Goods and services with EACH mutch, with or without Russian and Chinese consent - is Entirely to the advantage of the other side. Neither of these "Crazed" Regimes offers, or'd be so foolish as Thurs Consider, a threat to either, investigation of its big power Allies. Their Threats Entirely are directed at Democratic, pro-Western states: at South Korea and Japan, in the one case, at Israel in the other. 

Now, a "regime Does not Need to use nuclear weapons to get results from the truth. The mere fact-They are so Armed can change all the power relations in a region, just as the mere fact-that a particular man has a loaded gun can change all the power relations within a Suburban bank branch. 

"But why shouldn't they not have a gun? After all, the police not have guns, and they're just people, too." Or Alternatively, "If you do not want that man Carrying a gun, then the police shouldn't not have guns, either. We must Negotiate a gun-free banking environment." 

I hope my reader will find the fatuity in the Above two Statements. And yet the analogous Positions are Held Seriously, Even within the U.S. White House and State Department, Both Of wakes have a commitment to Negotiating with the Russians and others for a nuke-free world. 

The ambition is sane, incidentally: good guys with guns, bad guys without guns. Ditto for nuclear weapons. But this ambition is undermined sane "when spokesman for our own side Can not see the Difference Between a peace-loving and Constitutional Democracy, say, Iran and North Korea. ("After all, they're just countries, too.")

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