As a New York Yankee fan here is my very simple reaction to the news That the Boston Red Sox have Signed by Carl Crawford. Oh, crap!
While most folks were sleeping, the Red Sox snagged Crawford with a seven-year, $ 142-Million Contract. "Great move, great player," was the Yankee general manager Brian Cashman's simple reaction this morning.
Everywhere you look this morning, analysts are writing That this move turns up the heat on the Yankees Thurs sign free-agent pitcher Cliff Lee, and Lee Gives Obviously leverage Thurs squeeze more money out of whatever team ends up with him.
That much is Obvious. If the Yankees do land Not Lee They fall behind the Red Sox, the WHO have Signed and Crawford added slugging first baseman Adrian Gonzalez, via trade, in the American League East.
What I Want to look at is something Different. Short-term, Lee has Been the right target for the Yankees all along. It was in 2009 Obvious That Their front-line starting pitching was not good enough, and Lee is as good as there is in the game right now. Especially in the postseason.
Think about this question, though. Which guy is a better long-term investment, Crawford or Lee? If the Yankees get Lee and helps them win a championship Them or two in the first few years of his deal, the Yankees Will not care. I think, though, Crawford That Might Be the Better Long-Term Investment.
Here is ESPN's Keith Law summarizing Crawford, WHO, hit .307 with 19 home runs, 90 RBI and 47 stolen BASES for Tampa Bay in 2009.
Lee is Already 32, and a six-or seven-year deal will take him Thurs age 38 or 39 They is acknowledged as the best postseason pitcher in the game, But there is huge risk of Long-Term Contracts for pitchers. The Yankees Signed Mike Mussina for seven years back in 2001 and got eight Mostly Productive ones, But That Is the exception. Long-term, big-money deals for pitchers often have disastrous results. Ask about the Mets, Johan Santana.
Lee is a control pitcher, not a power one. You Still Have to wonder how well they will age. Already they missed somethings starts in 2009 with back issues, and you Have to wonder if the Yankees - Should They sign Lee - Will Be Paying an awful lot and Not getting much return by the end of a six-or seven-year deal .
Of course, all of this is speculative. Before Any Of It Matters, the Yankees have to get Lee's name on a contract first. Whether the will or NOT is the $ 150-million (or more) question.
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